The odds of getting two Spinda with the same pattern are of 1 in 2^32-1, or 4,294,967,295. Chances are even lower if the shiny form is also counted. This is because their patterns are based on their personality value, which is always a 32-bit number.
SOURCE: https://bulbapedia.bulbagarden.net/wiki/Spinda_(Pokémon)
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